North Korean troops are unlikely to be able to offer Russia a long-term solution to the issue of manpower losses.
That’s according to the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) think tank, reports Ukrinform.
Analysts recalled the data provided by U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, who said that Russia’s daily war casualties amount to over 1,200 (or about 36,000 per month), while at the same time, 25,000 to 30,000 new soldiers are being drafted into the army per month. This means Russia cannot replace current frontline losses at a 1:1 ratio, the report said.
“The 8,000 North Korean soldiers reportedly preparing to enter combat in Kursk Oblast thus represent about one week’s worth of casualties across the entire frontline. North Korea has committed an estimated total of 12,000 troops to Russia,” ISW analysts note.
At the same time, it remains unclear exactly how Russia intends to use the North Korean troops, but involving them in high-attrition offensive operations pursued by Russia is likely to result in high North Korean casualty rates.
ISW recently pointed out that North Korea likely chose to enter the war on Russia’s side in order to gain combat experience in modern warfare, but how the Russian command employs North Korean forces in combat will affect their ability to meaningfully internalize and disseminate combat experience.
If the DPRK forces suffer the same level of casualties as the Russians, the experience Pyongyang hopes to gain on the battlefield will be undermined. North Korean leader Kim Jong-un is unlikely to commit his forces to face such losses on the battlefield indefinitely., the report said.
As Ukrinform reported earlier, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken noted that there are approximately 8,000 North Korean troops in Kursk region, who may be involved in hostilities against Ukraine in the coming days.
The United States is in close consultations with allies and partners regarding the response to the possible involvement of the DPRK in Russia’s war against Ukraine and is considering a full range of options for action.
北韓軍隊不太可能為俄羅斯提供解決人力損失問題的長期解決方案。
根據《烏克蘭新聞報》報道，這是智囊團戰爭研究所 (ISW) 的說法。
分析家回憶起美國國防部長勞埃德·奧斯汀提供的數據，他表示，俄羅斯每天的戰爭傷亡人數超過1200人（每月約36,000人），而同時，每年有25,000至30,000名新兵入伍。月。報告稱，這意味著俄羅斯無法以1:1的比例彌補目前的前線損失。
據報道，8,000 名北韓士兵準備在庫爾斯克州參戰，相當於整個前線約一週的傷亡。北韓已向俄羅斯派遣了大約 12,000 名士兵，」ISW 分析師指出。
同時，目前尚不清楚俄羅斯到底打算如何使用北韓軍隊，但讓他們參與俄羅斯實施的高消耗進攻行動可能會導致北韓傷亡率很高。
ISW最近指出，北韓很可能選擇加入俄羅斯一邊參戰，以獲取現代戰爭的作戰經驗，但俄羅斯司令部如何在戰鬥中使用北韓軍隊將影響他們有效內化和傳播作戰經驗的能力。
如果北韓軍隊遭受與俄羅斯同等程度的傷亡，平壤希望在戰場上獲得的經驗將被削弱。報導稱，北韓領導人金正恩不太可能讓他的軍隊無限期地在戰場上承受這樣的損失。
根據烏克蘭通訊社先前報道，美國國務卿布林肯指出，庫爾斯克地區約有8,000名北韓軍隊，未來幾天可能會參與對烏克蘭的敵對行動。
美國正在與盟友和夥伴就如何應對北韓可能捲入俄羅斯對烏克蘭的戰爭進行密切磋商，並正在考慮全面的行動方案。
source ukrinform